Stocks weakened ahead of this week’s Federal Reserve meeting and amid persistent concerns about the Delta variant’s impact on the economy.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was flat (-0.07%), while the Standard & Poor’s 500 fell 0.57%. The Nasdaq Composite index lost 0.47% for the week. The MSCI EAFE index, which tracks developed overseas stock markets, dropped 0.65%.1,2,3
Despite a string of economic reports painting a healthy picture of the U.S. economy, investor sentiment remained cautious. While tamer inflation and higher-than-expected retail sales may typically be constructive for the market, any investor enthusiasm it generated was fleeting.
The market appeared all week to be encumbered by a tentative, apprehensive mood. The Delta variant remained an overhang, but it was more than that. Investors appeared concerned about September, which historically has been a weak month for stock prices. The market also was concerned about fiscal and tax policy proposals emanating from Washington D.C., news of an economic slowdown in China, and by what the Fed may announce following its September 21-22 Federal Open Market Committee meeting.
Taking the Economic Pulse
A series of economic reports released last week provided investors with a broad snapshot of the state of the economic recovery.
Inflation showed signs of moderating, rising 0.3%—an elevated rate, but well below June and July’s increases of 0.9% and 0.5%, respectively. The consumer remained strong as retail sales rose 0.7%, an unexpected jump. Manufacturing reached pre-pandemic, while the labor market continued its recovery, with initial jobless claims coming in near pandemic lows and continuing claims hitting a new pandemic low.4,5,6,7
This Week: Key Economic Data
Tuesday: Housing Starts.
Wednesday: Existing Home Sales. FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) Announcement.
Thursday: Jobless Claims. Index of Leading Economic Indicators. PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) Composite Flash.
Friday: New Home Sales.
Source: Econoday, September 17, 2021
This Week: Companies Reporting Earnings
Tuesday: Adobe, Inc. (ADBE), Fedex Corporation (FDX), Autozone, Inc. (AZO).
Wednesday: General Mills (GIS).
Thursday: Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST), Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI), Trip.com Group (TCOM).
Source: Zacks, September 17, 2021
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Tip adapted from IRS.gov8
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Footnotes and Sources
2. The Wall Street Journal, September 17, 2021
3. The Wall Street Journal, September 17, 2021
4. CNBC, September 14, 2021
5. The Wall Street Journal, September 16, 2021
6. MarketWatch, September 16, 2021
7. The Wall Street Journal, September 16, 2021
8. IRS.gov, 2021
9. Hopkinsmedicine.org, 2021
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Weekly Market Insights: Stocks Lackluster Despite Positive Outlook
September 20, 2021